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41% of U.S. Listings Have Cut Their Price. In San Francisco, It's 18%.

Sean Mamola  |  August 17, 2026

41% of U.S. Listings Have Cut Their Price. In San Francisco, It's 18%.

As of August 2026, only about 18 percent of active San Francisco listings have taken a price cut from their original asking price, compared with roughly 41 percent nationally. Condos account for most of the local reductions at about 21 percent, while single-family houses sit at just 10 percent. In other words, San Francisco is running the opposite of the national softening story, and the one place any give is showing up is the condo market.

Key Findings

  • San Francisco is cutting at half the national rate. About 18 percent of active SF listings have reduced their price from the original ask, versus roughly 41 percent nationally, one of the widest city-versus-country gaps in recent memory.
  • Condos, not houses, carry the reductions. Around 21 percent of active condos have cut their price, roughly double the 10 percent rate for single-family houses.
  • Houses remain a strong seller's market. Single-family homes closed this summer at about 124 percent of list price, with fewer than 7 percent selling below asking.
  • Condos eased after a strong spring. Condo sale-to-list ratios peaked near 102 percent in April and May, then settled back toward 100 percent, with roughly 30 percent of condos now selling below asking.
  • Rate pressure is the national backdrop. The 30-year fixed mortgage averaged about 6.67 percent in mid-August and the 10-year Treasury sits near 4.7 percent, keeping affordability tight in every market.
  • The typical SF cut is modest. When San Francisco condos do reduce, the median cut is around 7 percent off the original price, a recalibration rather than a capitulation.

Why Do Price Cuts Matter More Than Sales Data Right Now?

Price reductions are the fastest signal in real estate. A home that cuts its price in August does not close until October, and that closing does not appear in the sales statistics until November. By the time a softening market shows up in median sale prices, it is old news. Price cuts are happening in real time on the listings that are on the market today, which makes them the leading indicator I watch before anything else.

The sequence rarely changes. Price reductions move first. Sales volume and inventory shift in the months that follow. Prices themselves feel the effect about a year later. Reading the reduction data now is the closest thing the market offers to a look around the corner. Sales data tells me what buyers did ninety days ago. Reductions tell me what sellers are worried about this week.

How Does San Francisco Compare to the National Price-Cut Wave?

Nationally, the picture has cooled. Roughly 41 percent of listings have taken a price cut from their original asking price, an unusually high share that has climbed through the summer as buyers wait out stubborn borrowing costs. Freddie Mac put the 30-year fixed mortgage near 6.67 percent in mid-August, and with the 10-year Treasury around 4.7 percent, affordability pressure has been the defining force of the national market. Realtor.com has described the season as a summer cooldown, with price cuts closing in on last year's elevated levels.

San Francisco is not following that script. When I pulled every active listing in the city and tracked how many had reduced their price from where they started, the number came in around 18 percent, less than half the national rate. In a city facing the same mortgage rates as everywhere else, sellers here are holding their pricing with notably more conviction.

Why Are San Francisco Condos Cutting Prices More Than Houses?

The citywide average hides the more useful story, which is the split between the two halves of the market. The table below is the whole picture in one view.

Segment

Active listings with a cut

Summer sale-to-list

Sold below list

Median sale price

Single-family houses

~10%

~124%

~7%

~$2.0M

Condominiums

~21%

~100%

~30%

~$1.23M

All listings

~18%

~111%

~20%

Note: this analysis covers condominiums and single-family houses only. Tenancy-in-common (TIC) units, co-ops, and other property types are not included.

Single-family houses remain a firmly strong seller's market. Only about 10 percent of active houses have cut their price, and closed sales this summer landed near 124 percent of list, with fewer than 7 percent of homes selling below asking. When a well-presented house in a desirable neighborhood comes to market, it still draws competition and clears above ask, the same intensity behind recent headlines like 44 homes selling a million dollars or more over asking.

Condominiums are the segment absorbing what national pressure there is. Roughly 21 percent of active condos have taken a price cut, close to double the rate for houses, and when condos sell, they are now closing right around list price rather than comfortably above it. This is where the wider market's affordability squeeze is quietly surfacing, and it spans the city's high-rise corridors from South Beach and Yerba Buena through Mission Bay. Houses and condos are two different weather systems in this city right now, and if you are not reading them separately, you will misread the whole market.

The distinction matters for anyone making a decision this fall. A condo priced as though it were a scarce single-family house will sit and eventually cut. A condo priced to the current reality moves. The listings I see reduce are almost always the ones that opened too ambitiously, and correct pricing on day one is doing more work in the condo market than it has in over a year.

Did the San Francisco Condo Market Soften This Summer?

Tracking the condo market across the year shows a clear arc rather than a straight line. Sale-to-list ratios firmed into the spring, peaked around April and May near 102 percent of list, then eased back toward even over the summer. The share of condos selling below their asking price tightened to about 25 percent in spring and has since climbed back to roughly 30 percent. None of this is a decline in prices. It is a market that ran hard, then took a breath as summer inventory built and buyers regained a measure of negotiating room. The house market never gave that ground.

This is a give-back, not a downturn. Condos had a genuinely strong spring, part of the longer arc of the San Francisco condo market quietly catching up, and what I am seeing now is the froth coming off. It is healthy, and it is happening while the segment still cuts at half the national pace.

From experience: This summer I represented a buyer on a South of Market loft where the right number had less to do with the list price and everything to do with the building. I spent a night in the association's own reserve study and budget, a reserve fund only about 12 percent funded, a freshly adopted emergency assessment, several components already at the end of their useful life, and built the offer straight off that reality. We came in below the asking price, walked the listing side through every figure, and were in contract within days. Pricing to what a building or a market actually is, rather than what a seller hopes it is, is the whole game right now.

Strategic Implications

For Buyers

  • The condo market is offering the most negotiating room it has in months, concentrated in exactly the high-rise segment most first-time and move-up buyers are shopping.
  • Target listings that have already sat and reduced once. A condo that has taken a modest cut is often the seller signaling genuine motivation.
  • Do not expect the same leverage on houses. With single-family homes still clearing well above ask, house buyers should still prepare to compete.
  • Anchor your financing math to today's rate environment, with the 30-year fixed near 6.67 percent, and line up your lender early, since some otherwise-sound condos get stuck at the lender over HOA or appraisal issues.

For Sellers

  • Price to the current market on day one. In the condo segment, an ambitious opening number is now the single most common cause of a later reduction.
  • Watch the reduction data in your own building or block, not just citywide averages, since condo dynamics vary sharply by tower and neighborhood.
  • If prep is on your mind, Compass Concierge can front the cost of staging, paint, flooring, and repairs with no upfront cost, repaid at closing, so a listing shows at its best from day one.
  • Time on market is the enemy. A well-priced condo that moves quickly outperforms an aspirational one that cuts its way to the same number weeks later.

For the Luxury Market

  • The high-end single-family segment above $2M remains insulated, driven by limited inventory and buyers less sensitive to rate movement.
  • Luxury condos and penthouses in Pacific Heights, Russian Hill, and Nob Hill reward precise, well-advised pricing, where a small early misstep can mean a visible reduction.
  • For discerning buyers, the summer condo give-back opens a rare window to acquire premium high-rise product with less competition than the spring offered.

Frequently Asked Questions

What percentage of San Francisco homes have cut their price in 2026? As of August 2026, about 18 percent of active San Francisco listings have reduced their price from the original asking price, based on my analysis of MLS data. That breaks down to roughly 21 percent of condos and 10 percent of single-family houses, and it compares to a national share near 41 percent.

Are San Francisco home prices falling? No. Prices are not falling. Houses are still selling well above list price, near 124 percent of asking this summer, and condo prices are holding roughly at list. What has changed is that the condo market cooled from its spring peak, giving buyers modestly more negotiating room without a broad decline in values.

Why are San Francisco condos softer than houses right now? Condos carry more available inventory and are more sensitive to mortgage rates, so the national affordability squeeze surfaces there first. Single-family houses remain supply-constrained and continue to draw competitive, over-ask offers, which keeps their price-cut share far lower.

Is now a good time to buy a condo in San Francisco? For buyers seeking leverage, the summer of 2026 has offered the most negotiating room the condo market has provided in months. With roughly 30 percent of condos selling below list and about one in five having reduced, well-prepared buyers have room to negotiate, particularly on listings that have already sat.

How should I price my San Francisco condo to sell? Price to the current market from the first day. The data shows that condos which open too ambitiously are the ones most likely to reduce later and sell for less. A realistic opening price that generates early activity consistently outperforms an aspirational one that cuts its way down over several weeks.

What do price cuts tell us about where the market is heading? Price reductions lead the market. They move first, followed by sales and inventory in the following months, and by prices about a year later. San Francisco's current reduction data points to a house market that stays strong and a condo market where accurate pricing matters more than it did in the spring.

Work With Sean Mamola

Wondering how the price-cut trend reads in your building or on your block? Sean Mamola brings 17+ years of San Francisco real estate experience and a luxury hospitality background to every client relationship, with a track record that runs from entry-level condos to an $8.7M South Beach penthouse. As a Global Luxury Specialist with Compass, Sean pairs deep market data with the personalized service that discerning buyers and sellers expect. Schedule a consultation or call (415) 704-3640 to talk through what these numbers mean for your specific situation.

Sean Mamola

Sean Mamola

Rises.co Sales Associate

Global Luxury Specialist & Penthouse Expert

Sean Mamola is a San Francisco real estate agent who specializes in luxury properties and penthouses throughout the city's most coveted neighborhoods. As a Global Luxury Specialist with Compass and Rises.co, Sean works with discerning clients who are buying and selling exceptional properties in San Francisco. Since 2018 he has closed 75+ transactions and more than $100M in sales volume across the city's high-rise condo and penthouse market.

Neighborhood Expertise

Sean focuses on San Francisco's premier areas including South Beach, Yerba Buena, Mission Bay, Pacific Heights, Lower Pacific Heights, Russian Hill, and Nob Hill. His deep knowledge of these neighborhoods allows him to guide clients to properties that perfectly match their lifestyle and investment goals.

Whether you're drawn to the modern luxury of South Beach condos, the urban sophistication of Yerba Buena, the waterfront appeal of Mission Bay, the timeless elegance of Pacific Heights, the historic charm of Russian Hill, or the prestigious heights of Nob Hill, Sean understands what makes each area unique.

Luxury Real Estate Services

For Sellers
Sean creates comprehensive marketing strategies that attract qualified buyers with refined tastes. He believes in elegant staging with meticulous attention to detail, ensuring your property makes an unforgettable impression. His marketing reaches both international and local luxury markets, maximizing exposure for condos, penthouses, condotels, and new developments.

For Buyers
Using cutting-edge technology and market research, Sean carefully analyzes pricing and property trends to find homes that satisfy his clients' specific preferences, price points, and lifestyles. His 24/7 availability and white-glove service ensure you never miss the right opportunity.

The Sean Mamola Advantage

Working with Sean and his partnership with Rises.co gives clients significant competitive advantages. His vast network of interconnected agents results in winning offers and an impressively low ratio of properties shown to offers accepted. Sean's impeccable work ethic and precise negotiation skills ensure sellers find the right buyer and buyers secure their dream home.

Background & Approach

Before becoming a licensed real estate agent, Sean spent years in luxury hospitality, skills he applies to every client relationship and transaction. He has tremendous respect for people's privacy and consistently exceeds expectations – from international travel to execute transactions to handling unique special requests.

As a Bay Area native who lived in New York City for 15 years, Sean brings a global perspective and genuine appreciation for people from all walks of life. His diverse background helps him connect with clients whether they're local San Francisco residents or international buyers seeking their perfect property.

Personal Touch

When not working, Sean enjoys cycling, spending time with his large Irish-Italian family, and volunteering for Food Runners, The Richmond/Ermet Aid Foundation (REAF), and Broadway Cares/Equity Fights AIDS. This community involvement reflects his commitment to giving back to the city he serves.

Ready to Work Together?

If you're looking for an exceptional San Francisco real estate agent who specializes in luxury properties and provides truly high-touch service, let's talk. Sean is ready to help you find your perfect San Francisco home or achieve the best possible outcome when selling your property.

Specializing in luxury condos, penthouses, and exceptional properties in South Beach, Yerba Buena, Mission Bay, Pacific Heights, Lower Pacific Heights, Russian Hill, and Nob Hill.

 

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